Berkshire's Challenges

 As things settle out and the attention shifts to Buffett, it is clear that a handful of questions have bubbled to the top. These questions are very painful for Berkshire shareholders and longtime Buffett-followers to consider. Even raising them is likely to earn brickbats. Nonetheless, it is essential to put a clear summary of what is at stake on the table. The following questions in subtle or less-subtle form are already being raised -- not merely by me, but in other editorials, in blogs, on discussion threads, and in private conversations.

> Does Berkshire have adequate systems in place to control risk and enforce its Code of Conduct?

> Where was the board in all this? What role does it actually play in governing the company? How often does it meet? How do its formal and informal procedures compare to the best practices of corporate governance? 

> Buffett has always tended to get infatuated with certain people that sometimes didn't work out (John Gutfreund comes to mind). His personal preferences about people are overwhelmingly the largest factor weighed in the succession process. Is it time for a radical change in the succession process that would give the board more influence and consider a broader palette of candidates?

> Have Buffett's lofty rhetoric and noble goals fooled us into thinking he is superhuman in his actions? Have we exaggerated Buffett's moral compass?

> Should we be worried that there is anything else of serious concern to shareholders now that Berkshire is better understood to be less transparent than we thought?

 

 

Hypocrisy at judging Buffett

I sense great hypocrisy in how Buffett is judged regarding the Sokol affair. It is as though people in the financial industry are so fed up with underperforming Buffett in both monetary and ethical terms that they jump on this opportunity to proclaim Buffett is just as fallible as everyone else. Now the hedge fund managers and private equity gurus as well as hoards of mediocre money managers can have an excuse to over-charge customers relative to their performance. Jealousy is happy at work here.

The truth is no one can prevent anyone with a free will from doing something. Not even God could stop Adam and Eve from eating the forbidden fruit. No amount of compliance regulations and oversight committee meetings could have prevented Dave Sokol from doing what he did, especially when he felt it was not illegal. Whether it was ethical is a more subjective argument. The question is what Sokol and Buffett did after the acts came to light.

The fact is that Sokol was allowed to leave within a couple of weeks after Buffett learned of the trades. We may speculate as to the timing and motives behind Sokol's resignation, but it is likely Sokol was conscientious enough to realize these trades would not have pleased Buffett and sent in the resignation himself before actually getting fired. Clearly we all know Buffett likes Sokol very much. Is he wrong to try to portray Sokol in the best light possible? How many of us would not help our favorite son the best we can if he got into trouble?

As for Sokol, after resigning from Berkshire, is essentially on his own to defend himself from public opinion, and from possible formal investigations too. Berkshire will not pay for any legal fees nor provide insurance coverage for potential misconducts. After going through the financial crisis of the last several years, haven't we seen lots of examples of apparently legal but clearly unethical behaviors (or in their own terms stupid acts that somehow benefit the perpetrators while hurting other people, all perfectly legal of course) that are being defended or paid for using shareholder and tax payer money!

Would we be more forgiving had Sokol behaved more like other despicable financiers of the last few years, leaving with a huge golden parachute worth hundreds of millions, receiving indemnity protection by Berkshire, and transferring all his assets to his wife on the eve of potential litigation? Or would Berkshire be better served by Buffett firing Sokol with harsh and incriminating words, before Sokol is proven guilty of legal misconduct? How would the other managers feel about Buffett then? Or should we ask Berkshire to emulate AIG and put Sokol on leave while paying him a million a month as a consultant? Can anyone come up with a solution that is truly better than how Buffett and Sokol have handled it? I seriously doubt it.

Let the one who has not sinned throw the first stone. Yes, that means the perfect person who has never even gone over the speed limit once and always covers his mouth and nose with a clean handkerchief and immediately cleans his hands with ethanol sanitizer. The rest should abstain from passing judgment on Buffett and Sokol, two individuals who have behaved better than most.

REPLY: I agree with part of what you say. It irritates me when people hold Buffett to a standard of perfection as though, because he has high standards, he has to meet them perfectly 100% of the time himself. With that said, we're supposed to use our judgment to evaluate how people behave in full context (i.e., fairly), and we don't have to be blameless to do it. Discriminating good from bad behavior is not the same thing as throwing stones.

was Sokol really still on the short list

If Sokol had tried resigning several times, was he really still on the short list. Knowing that he had a foot out the door, wouldn't WB more likely taken him off the list?

REPLY: I'm pretty skeptical about the story of Sokol trying to resign except as an ultimatum to force Buffett to move faster down the road toward making Sokol CEO while giving him a bigger and more public role. This is a classic way that managers push their bosses to promote them and get the hell out of the way -- they threaten to quit. The reasonable version of that conversation has Sokol saying he's already run a public company and to meet his ambitions he needs a bigger challenge which he can't find within Berkshire. This is an ultimatum that leaves Buffett with the choice to either beg him to stay, give him more challenges and dangle the CEO carrot, or agree that he should leave. The former is what happened. Buffett started expanding Sokol's portfolio (on CNBC Sokol actually linked his takeover of NetJets to one of these conversations). The growing chatter of Sokol as the heir apparent in the media got to the point that he was virtually agreed to be Buffett's successor and Buffett said nothing to contradict it except the occasional reference to other candidates (to back up whoever was number one on the list).

I personally witnessed and/or have solidly sourced several incidents of Sokol maneuvering to get in front of board members and be viewed as their peer that reveal a campaign to impress them and cultivate them. It was brown-nosing at its finest. None of the other Berkshire managers behaved this way. Sokol saying he didn't want the job is a little incredible considering his efforts, for example, to win over Bill Gates.

The here and now

This isn't so much a revelation of new facts about Berkshire, rather a wake-up call with respect to how very unconventional Berkshire's corporate governance is. A healthy and young CEO can be granted unusual authority and power; shareholders can vote with their feet if they don't approve. Caveat Emptor in the purest sense.

None of this should be new to Berkshire investors. Buffett has been straightforward in this regard. Shareholders have known what they got into (or at least the sophisticated ones should have).

Recent events smash the notion of infallibility. Frankly this is good. Buffett is not immortal nor superhuman. His creation Berkshire is huge and moats are not eternal (World Encyclopedia and newspapers come to mind). Who is going to run and maintain this corporation going forward?

In respect to investing, I have learned more from Buffett than any other, but he needs to recognize that his responsibilities extend beyond making Berkshire a monument to his investment acumen and focus on how this behemoth carries forward after his passing from the scene. It is the mature and responsible thing for him to do.

Berkshire

Appears Warren has lost his focus and compass on ethics and apearences.He allows that Berk. is too big to deliver the outsized returns that it managed for many years. It won't happen but post Warren perhaps the example of Henry Singelton who built up and then dismantled his conglomerate would apply. Warren way back in the day admired what Singleton has done I recall.
Thanks for all your efforts creating a great historical record of a gem of an investor. I read your original piece on Berk. when you were an analyst as I've been a tiny shareholder since 1982 in Warrens machine thanks to John Trains Money Masters book with the chapter devoted to W. B.
Regards Carleton Palmer

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